Recent special elections bode well for Democrats
They can help in predicting general elections
If Republicans were about to experience a breakthrough among black voters, as some polls had suggested, New Jersey’s tenth congressional district (which includes Newark) might be a place to start. Around half its residents are black. But in the special election on September 18th to fill the district’s vacant House seat the Democratic candidate, LaMonica McIver, won in a landslide. She defeated her opponent by 81% to 16%—a larger margin than President Joe Biden managed there in 2020.
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This article appeared in the United States section of the print edition under the headline “The meaning of mini-landslides”
United States September 28th 2024
- Kamala Harris is outspending Donald Trump. Will it matter?
- Eric Adams, New York’s mayor, is indicted on bribery charges
- Recent special elections bode well for Democrats
- Mark Robinson has hijacked his own campaign in North Carolina
- Kamalamania and the drive for abortion rights are a potent mix
- America’s growing row over policies for transgender prisoners
- What J.D. Vance is learning from Donald Trump
From the September 28th 2024 edition
Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents
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The second in our series of policy briefs
The Supreme Court begins another contentious term
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Checks and Balance newsletter: gender politics in the election
Both parties are telling very different stories about gender