Briefing | Fissile fallout

After the decapitation of Hizbullah, Iran could race for a nuclear bomb

The embattled clerical regime might feel the need for stronger deterrence

A big banner depicting Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is placed next to a ballistic missile in Baharestan Square in Tehran
Photograph: Getty Images

WHEN AN ISRAELI bomb killed Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of Hizbullah, last week, it did not just decapitate a fearsome militia that has driven some 60,000 Israelis from their homes with frequent rocket attacks. It also dealt a hammer blow to Iran’s “axis of resistance”, a constellation of proxy forces that Iran has for decades used to attack both Israel and Western interests in the Middle East. In addition to its current assault on Hizbullah, Israel’s year-long dismemberment of Hamas in Gaza has vastly diminished Iran’s capacity to cause trouble if threatened. Those defeats, in turn, may be prompting Iran to fall back on its other main form of deterrence: its nuclear-weapons programme.

Explore more

Discover more

Demonstrators wave flags and placards at a pro-Palestinian protest

Has the war in Gaza radicalised young Palestinians?

After Gaza, how will the Palestinians try to build their state?

Israeli soldiers stand next to a group of Orthodox men

A year on, Israeli society is divided about the lessons of October 7th

Hawks and doves, religious and secular, right and left—all the old cleavages are resurfacing


Israel's Iron Dome anti-missile system intercepts rockets fired by Iran

The bloodshed in the Middle East is fast expanding

Israel seems certain to retaliate to Iran’s missile attack


What Hamas misunderstood about the Middle East

A war meant to draw in the militant group’s allies has instead left them battered

Ukraine is on the defensive, militarily, economically and diplomatically

Russian advances, fatigue among its allies and political divisions at home leave it in a bind

America is becoming less “woke”

Our statistical analysis finds that woke opinions and practices are on the decline