The World Ahead | Europe in 2024
How the war in Ukraine is changing the Caucasus
Turkey and Azerbaijan hope to benefit from Russia’s betrayal of Armenia
By Arkady Ostrovsky
Compared with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine or the horrors of Hamas’s attack on Israel and the ensuing conflict, the one-day war waged in September 2023 by Azerbaijan against its ethnic-Armenian enclave of Nagorno-Karabakh may seem like a blip. This final episode in a long cycle of violence between Azerbaijan and Armenia gave Azerbaijan control of a region that has wished to be separate from it since before the Soviet collapse, and prompted the exodus of most of the Armenian population.
Explore more
This article appeared in the Europe section of the print edition of The World Ahead 2024 under the headline “Russia’s waning influence”