Finance & economics | Free exchange: Diminished expectations

Economists still lack a proper understanding of business cycles

The second in our series on the shortcomings of the economics profession

THE aftermath of the 2007-08 financial crisis ought to have been a moment of triumph for economics. Lessons learned from the 1930s prevented the collapse of global finance and trade, and resulted in a downturn far shorter and less severe than the Depression. But even as the policy remedies were helpful, the crisis exposed the economic profession’s continued ignorance of the business cycle. That is bad news not just for the discipline, but for everyone.

This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “Diminished expectations”

What’s become of the Republican Party?

From the April 21st 2018 edition

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition

Discover more

Could war in the Gulf push oil to $100 a barrel?

Missiles are flying over a region that supplies a third of the world’s crude

FRANCE-TRADITION-LEISURE-TOURISM

How bond investors soured on France

They now regard the euro zone’s second-largest economy as riskier than Spain



Why economic warfare nearly always misses its target

There is no such thing as a strategic commodity

A tonne of public debt is never made public

New research suggests governments routinely hide their borrowing